The issue here is you thinking it’s solely about wherever you happen to be on that day instead of the chance of rain over the entire area and the area is probably quite large and not just your suburb or town.
So, for example, if there’s an 80% chance of rain over the area but you live in a rain shadow in that area then chances are it’s not going to rain much in your area no matter how high the % is until it gets high enough so that it has to also mean your area.
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